Risk aversion and dollar softness continues to drive XAU/USD flow. However, in view of another reasonably lacklustre performance yesterday, much of the following points aired here today will echo a similar vibe to Thursday’s technical briefing.
H4 action continues to find some respite off the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1635.2, though upside is capped by resistance at 1655.3. Interestingly, the Fibonacci level aligns with daily support at 1635.6. H4 Support at 1611.3, which happens to merge with channel resistance-turned support, taken from the high 1593.9, remains another point of interest on this scale. Meanwhile, indicator-based traders may also wish to acknowledge the relative strength index (RSI) is attempting to bottom around the 50.0 value, following a downward move out of overbought territory.
Higher-timeframe action has weekly price fading resistance at 1667.3. Continued selling from here could draw in a support area at 1616.8-1592.2. On the daily timeframe, resistance entered the fold at 1687.4, with support recently making a show at 1635.6.
Daily support at 1635.6 could continue to hold price action higher today. However, the top edge of the weekly support area is also of interest at 1616.8, given it converges closely with H4 support at 1611.3.
Whether additional confirmation, such as candlestick patterns, is needed before pulling the trigger off either of the aforementioned supports is, of course, trader dependent. Traders are, however, urged to recognise we do have weekly resistance in play at 1667.3, despite the primary trend facing north.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this material is intended for general advice only.