EURUSD Breakdown (7 May 2020)

Title : EURUSD Breakdown (May 7, 2020)

Broker : Tickmill

Description : News of more US states re-opening for business led Wall Street higher, with the S&P500 adding 0.9% overnight led by healthcare (Pfizer) and energy stocks (Chevron Corp) as Brent topped $30 per barrel for the first time since 15 April, whereas Disney reported a 37% fall in 2Q operating income amid the Covid-19 outbreak and Airbnb will cut 25% of its workforce. Meanwhile, UST bonds ended mixed with the 10-year bond yield at 0.66% amid the T-bill deluge (more than $1.5t since start of April). The 3- month LIBOR eased again to 0.474% (lowest since December 2015) and LIBOR-OIS narrowed to 43bps. The US is considering the extension of some China tariff exclusions.

Germany’s constitutional court outlined some red flags with regards to the ECB’s existing asset purchase programmes and directed that the ECB could continue but needed to carry out a “proportionality assessment” within the next three months. This will need to show that the ECB is buying government bonds consistent with the “capital key” (reflecting each country’s share in population and GDP) and isn’t straying into monetary financing of governments. The ruling sets the scene for a legal challenge against the ECB’s new €750b pandemic emergency purchase programme, which has even looser limits than previous asset purchase programmes. It doesn’t change the fact that euro area governments need to show some unity and step up with a fiscal recovery plan to support the economy, taking the pressure off ECB policy.

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